How Retirement Savings Work
Retirement savings grow through two forces: your contributions and investment returns. The longer your money is invested, the more compounding works in your favour. A pot of โฌ50,000 invested at 6% per year for 30 years grows to over โฌ287,000 without any further contributions โ purely from compound growth.
The key output of any retirement calculator is whether your projected pot at retirement will be large enough to fund the income you want for as long as you need it. This calculator projects your pot, estimates what you need, and shows the gap or surplus.
The Formulas
Pot at Retirement = Current Savings ร (1+r)^n + Monthly ร [((1+r)^n โ 1) รท r]
Pot Needed = Annual Income รท Withdrawal Rate (e.g. 4%)
Years Pot Lasts = log(1 โ (Pot ร r รท Annual Withdrawal)) รท log(1+r) ร โ1
r = monthly return rate. n = months to retirement. The 4% rule is a commonly cited withdrawal guideline, not a guarantee.
The 4% Rule
The 4% rule was derived from the Trinity Study and suggests that withdrawing 4% of a diversified investment portfolio per year gives a high probability of the money lasting 30 years. At 4%, the required pot is 25ร your desired annual income. This is a planning guideline, not a precise formula โ inflation, market returns, and longevity all affect the real outcome.
Frequently Asked Questions
How much do I need to retire?+
The standard estimate is 25ร your desired annual retirement income, based on the 4% withdrawal rule. If you want โฌ2,500 per month (โฌ30,000 per year), you need approximately โฌ750,000. This does not include state pension income, which reduces the private savings required.
What return rate should I use?+
A diversified global equity portfolio has historically returned 6โ8% per year before inflation over long periods. A conservative mixed portfolio of equities and bonds typically returns 4โ6%. For retirement projections, 5โ6% is a commonly used assumption. Always use a rate you believe is sustainable, not the best historical scenario.
Should I include my state pension?+
Yes. State pensions reduce the amount your private savings need to provide. If your state pension covers โฌ1,200 per month and you want โฌ2,500 per month, your private pot only needs to fund โฌ1,300 per month. Check your projected state pension entitlement with your national pension authority.
What if I have a shortfall?+
A shortfall means your projected pot will not fund your desired income for your full retirement period. Options include increasing monthly contributions, working longer, expecting a lower retirement income, or accepting a higher withdrawal rate. The calculator shows how much extra you would need to contribute monthly to close the gap.
Does this calculator account for tax?+
No. This calculator projects gross figures. In practice, pension income, investment withdrawals, and lump sums may be taxable depending on your country and the type of account used. Use the result as a planning input and verify tax treatment with a qualified financial adviser.