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Economic Data

GDP Growth Rates G7 Comparison 2026

GDP growth rates for G7 countries in 2026 — IMF forecasts, actual 2025 growth, and what divergence between US, EU, and UK economic performance means for global markets.

92
CQ Score
Verified Data Source: Eurostat + IMF + ECB ↗ Updated Jan 2026
2.8%
US GDP Growth 2025
Strongest G7 — services and AI-led investment
-0.2%
Germany GDP Growth 2025
Technical recession — manufacturing crisis
3.1%
Spain GDP Growth 2025
Strongest major EU economy — tourism and renewables
0.9%
Eurozone GDP Growth 2025
Weak — Germany dragging; Spain/Ireland lifting
1.2%
UK GDP Growth 2025
Modest — rate shock fading
~2.0%
G7 Average 2025
US dominant — EU drags the average
Data status: Current
Last updated: Jan 2026
Next review: Jan 2027
Update cycle: Annual/Quarterly
Updated January 2026
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Data from official sources
All data sourced from Eurostat, IMF, ECB, and national statistical offices. Figures represent latest available estimates as of January 2026. Subject to revision.
Source: Eurostat + IMF 2026
European economic context 2026
European economies in 2026 are navigating post-pandemic normalisation, ECB easing cycle, energy price normalisation after the 2022 crisis, and structural challenges including demographic ageing and green transition.
Source: ECB + IMF Economic Outlook 2026
Data revisions and preliminary estimates
Economic data is subject to revision. Preliminary estimates are revised quarterly. 2025 annual figures are estimates — final confirmed data typically published 12-18 months after year-end.
Source: Eurostat revision policy
GDP Growth Rates G7 2025 (%) Eurostat + IMF
📋 Reference Data
GDP Growth Rates G7 Comparison 2026 — Country Data 2026 Eurostat + national offices
Country202320242025 est2026FDriver
USA 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% AI/tech investment; strong consumer; jobs
Canada 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% Housing stabilising; commodities
Japan 1.9% 0.2% 1.0% 1.2% Weak domestic; yen export boost
UK 0.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% Rate shock fading; cautious recovery
France 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% Tourism + services; fiscal constraints
Italy 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% Structural chronic low growth
Germany -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% 0.5% Auto/manufacturing recession; China demand
ⓘ G7 GDP growth 2025 estimates from IMF WEO October 2025. 2026F = IMF forecast. US-EU growth gap widest since 2018. Germany in technical recession — only G7 economy with negative growth.
GDP Growth Rates G7 Comparison 2026 — Context Eurostat + IMF
Metric20252026FContext
G7 aggregate ~2.0% ~2.0% US weight dominant
Eurozone 0.9% 1.4% ECB easing supports recovery
EU27 1.1% 1.5% Poland/Baltics lift above EZ
OECD average 1.8% 2.0% Developed economy benchmark
China (reference) 4.8% 4.5% Still drives global growth
ⓘ IMF WEO October 2025 forecasts vs actuals. Note: Spain not G7 but included for EU context. Eurozone growth lags US by 190bp — widest peacetime divergence since 2000.
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🔬 Methodology & Sources
Data Methodology
Data from Eurostat, IMF, ECB SDW, and national offices.
Formula
Official statistical databases; EU aggregates GDP-weighted.
CitationEurostat Statistics Explained; IMF WEO October 2025.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Sourced from Eurostat, national statistical institutes, ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, IMF WEO, and OECD. These are the primary official sources for European economic statistics.
Inflation: monthly. GDP: quarterly. Unemployment: monthly. Interest rates: per central bank meeting. Annual structural data: yearly.
EU27 = all 27 EU member states. Eurozone = 20 EU members using the euro. Switzerland, Norway, Iceland are European but not EU members. ECB data covers eurozone; Eurostat covers EU27.
Eurostat enforces harmonised methodology across all EU member states — HICP for inflation, ESA 2010 for national accounts, ILO definition for unemployment — allowing direct cross-country comparison.
The IMF WEO is published twice yearly (April and October) with updates in January and July. It provides GDP, inflation, and fiscal forecasts for all 190 IMF member countries. The October 2025 edition provides baseline forecasts used in this data section.
Sources & References
Eurostat 2026 Retrieved 2026-01-01
IMF WEO Oct 2025 Retrieved 2026-01-01

Data sourced from official institutional publications. Results are for informational purposes only. Last reviewed Jan 2026.

Data Disclaimer
Data from Eurostat, IMF, ECB, and national statistical offices. Latest available January 2026.